Staff Report//January 15, 2026//
Although investors have steadily increased their share of home purchases in recent years, new data from Neighbors Bank shows that individual buyers are holding their own, capturing 69% of starter-home purchases across 30 U.S. metros with sizable investor ownership. The report, First-Time Buyers Are Holding Their Ground Against Investors, found that housing policy rather than market size is the linchpin when it comes to determining buyer outcomes.
The report examines 10 cities with notable investor presence, comparing them to small- and mid-sized cities within the same states, providing insight where first-time buyers might have less competition. The analysis, which was based on 2024 home sales data, found individual buyers outpaced investors in 25 out of the 30 markets, often by wide margins.
Of the 30 metros, the study found that first-time buyers accounted for an average of 69% of starter home purchases. The best markets for first-time homebuyers included large markets, such as Seattle and Los Angeles as well as smaller cities like Indianapolis and Dayton, Ohio. This was also the case for investor-friendly markets with non-owner occupants capturing more than 40% of the starter-home market in both Miami and Oklahoma City.
“Affordability doesn’t exist in a vacuum,” said Jake Vehige, president of mortgage lending at Neighbors Bank. “Two cities with similar home prices can have completely different outcomes depending on how they regulate investor activity and protect owner-occupants.”
For the purposes of the analysis, Neighbors Bank defined a “starter home” as a property affordable to a first-time buyer, with total monthly housing costs at or below 30% of the area’s median household income. Purchases intended as a primary residence with a down payment of less than 10% were counted as first-time homebuyer transactions, while non-owner-occupied or secondary residences are considered investor purchases. Only homes within the affordability range for first-time buyers were included, providing a realistic view of entry-level market competition.
Where First-Time Buyers Are Winning
Based on Neighbors Bank’s criteria, the top five cities where first-time buyers are winning the largest share of starter home purchases — Denver, Seattle, Los Angeles, Indianapolis and Dayton — all have housing regulations that favor owner-occupancy.
Where Investors Still Have the Upper Hand
Although first-time buyers have purchased three-quarters of the starter homes in the 30 markets analyzed, Miami, Atlanta, Nashville, Cleveland and Oklahoma City rank as the top five investor-friendly markets due to permissive rental rules and high profit potential.
“First-time buyers can absolutely compete,” Vehige said. “But the rules of the market matter. Cities that protect affordable ownership opportunities see stronger first-time buyer outcomes. It’s that plain and simple.”