WASHINGTON – Sales of existing U.S. homes slipped in April due to relatively few listings and rising prices, a trend that could weigh on the recovering housing market.
The National Association of Realtors said Thursday that sales of existing homes fell 3.3 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.04 million. April marked the second straight month of the sales rate topping 5 million homes. Purchases have recovered from a disappointing 2014 because strong job growth and low mortgage rates have generated more would-be buyers.
But greater demand in recent months has failed to convince more people to list their properties for sale. Only 5.3 months’ supply of homes is on the market, versus an average of six months in a healthy market. In the Charlotte region, there’s a 3.9-month supply.
Nationally, the number of listings actually tumbled 0.9 percent in April compared with a year ago.
The tight supplies have caused properties to fly off the market and prices to rocket upward. The median home sold in just 39 days last month, versus 52 days in March and 62 days in February. Sales levels dropped in the Northeast, South and West, but they edged up 1.7 percent in the Midwest.
Median home prices climbed 8.9 percent over the past 12 months to $219,400. That’s more than four times faster than average hourly wage growth. Home values are now just $2,500 shy of the 2006 peak.
“With steady job growth, low mortgage rates, and easier credit conditions, there is fundamental support for housing,” said Jennifer Lee, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets. “But with prices heading up again, and inventories still tight, potential buyers may be a little more choosy in the buying process.”
Unless more homes come onto the market, there is a cap on how much sales can rise as more buyers face bidding wars and are priced out of the market.
The shortage shows the long reach of the 2008 financial crisis and the housing bust, which continue to haunt the housing sector even as the economic recovery approaches its seventh year. Millions of homeowners still owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth — and they’re unwilling to sell at a steep loss, depriving the market of inventory.
Nearly 17 percent of mortgage holders were underwater at the end of 2014, according to the real estate firm Zillow.
The lack of supply should help prices rise to a level that fixes this problem. But too swift an increase also poses a destabilizing risk for the market. If home values accelerate too quickly, economists warn that more buyers will be priced out of the market and demand will fall.
One way to address the shortage would be to build more homes. The government reported this week that homebuilders upped the pace of construction in April to the fastest level since November 2007. But developers say that the process of planning new developments that could provide a greater inventory of homes can take at least a year.
Solid hiring and low mortgage rates have helped fuel the demand from buyers.
Over the past 12 months, employers have added 3.1 million workers, each of them with a new paycheck to be spent. The additional income has led many economists to forecast an increase in home sales this year.
Mortgage rates remain below historical average, despite increases in recent weeks.
Average 30-year fixed rates were 3.84 percent this week, according to the mortgage giant Freddie Mac. That average has dropped from 4.14 percent last year.